Kenya's AFCON Exit Deepens Uncertainty for Coach Firat

The future of Harambee Stars' head coach, Engin Firat, has become increasingly uncertain following Kenya's inability to qualify for the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON). As the Football Kenya Federation (FKF) elections approach in early December, a review of Firat's position as head coach is anticipated, yet speculation regarding his potential departure has already begun to mount.

Kenya's aspirations for AFCON qualification were crushed as they ended up in third place in Group J of the qualifiers, a disappointing outcome that left them trailing behind Cameroon and Zimbabwe, who claimed the top two positions. Despite being part of a group that seemed manageable, Firat's squad secured only one win—against Namibia—and recorded three draws. Two defeats to Cameroon, including a disheartening 4-1 loss in Yaoundé, underscored the significant disparity in quality between Kenya and the leading teams in African football.

The inability to qualify for AFCON ignited a wave of criticism, with many casting blame on Firat. Among the most outspoken detractors was Elijah Onsika, a former striker for the Harambee Stars, who called for the Turkish coach's removal. 'Firat has let us down,' Onsika stated. 'The longer the FKF delays, the harder it becomes for the country to achieve positive outcomes. It’s time for a change.'

Amid the calls for Firat's dismissal, the government has outlined its position on the issue. Cabinet Secretary for Sports, Kipchumba Murkomen, has indicated that the Ministry of Sports does not have the authority to terminate the coach’s contract, stressing that such decisions rest with the FKF. Nevertheless, Murkomen admitted that Firat's inability to secure qualification for the continental tournament would likely result in his exit, with the Ministry considering its options regarding the existing agreement between FKF and the coach, which contains provisions tied to AFCON qualification.

At this moment, the FKF is in a state of uncertainty as it prepares for elections that will shape its leadership. Insiders from the federation have indicated that the decision regarding Firat's future will only be made after the elections, as the current administration is focused on the electoral process. "We will address the matter concerning Firat once the elections are over," a source disclosed, noting that the federation is not in a position to make any definitive moves just yet.

The current administration's management of Firat's situation has become more complicated due to financial issues. Reports indicate that the coach is owed back pay for 11 months, which makes the decision to terminate his contract even more sensitive. "It's not an easy decision," a source confessed. "This requires careful consideration, especially given the financial matters at play."

Firat has voiced his dissatisfaction with the condition of Kenyan football, highlighting the absence of adequate infrastructure and support that has impeded the advancement of the national team. 'We lack fans, support, and proper facilities,' Firat stated following the team’s final qualification matches. 'Unless we tackle these fundamental issues, no coach or player can effect change. We must face the reality of Kenyan football.'

Firat's time as head coach has been quite challenging. Since taking on the role in 2021, he has managed the team in 23 matches, achieving a record of seven wins, seven draws, and nine losses. His initial months were characterized by significant defeats, including a 5-0 setback against Mali during the World Cup qualifiers. On a positive note, he guided Kenya to their first international title—a Four Nations tournament win in 2022, where they emerged victorious against Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Seychelles.

Even with these positive moments, the overall performance has been erratic. Kenya faced difficulties during their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign, managing to secure only two points in their initial three games. The defeat against Cameroon in the AFCON qualifiers, along with a subsequent draw against Zimbabwe, ultimately dashed their chances of participating in Morocco next year. Additionally, failing to overcome South Sudan in the CHAN qualifiers, despite being the host, further overshadowed Firat's tenure as head coach.

As the football community in Kenya anticipates the FKF elections and the forthcoming decision about Firat's future, the country's football identity is at a critical juncture. The issues confronting the Harambee Stars extend beyond tactical and managerial challenges—they are fundamentally structural. The team's difficulties reflect a broader problem within Kenyan football, characterized by inadequate facilities and insufficient fan involvement.

If Firat does leave, it could provide a new beginning for the national team, but the fundamental problems will persist unless they are thoroughly tackled. Whether it involves hiring a new coach, reforming the federation, or increasing funding for grassroots football, moving forward will necessitate a joint effort from all parties involved.

At this moment, attention will be directed towards the forthcoming elections, as the future of Kenyan football remains uncertain. The coming weeks will significantly influence the path of the Harambee Stars, and the choices made during the FKF elections may decide if the team can meet future challenges or if it will persist in facing difficulties on the international front.

Kenyan football stands at a crucial juncture, as the results of the FKF elections will shape the futures of both Engin Firat and the Harambee Stars. While fans and analysts contemplate the lost chance for AFCON qualification, the significant challenge lies in the federation's ability to formulate a cohesive strategy to tackle the deep-rooted problems afflicting football in Kenya. Time is running out, and the upcoming decisions will be vital for the country's footballing ambitions.